Violence, Bribery, and Fraud: The Political Economy of Elections in Sub-Saharan Africa

نویسندگان

  • Paul Collier
  • Pedro C. Vicente
چکیده

Post-Soviet African democratization has introduced elections into contexts that often lack restraints upon the behavior of candidates, resulting in the emergence of voter intimidation, vote-buying, and ballot fraud. We propose a model of electoral competition where, although some voters oppose violence, it is effective in intimidating swing voters. We show that in equilibrium a weak challenger will use violence, which corresponds to a terrorism strategy. Similarly, a nationally weak incumbent will use repression. However, a stronger incumbent facing local competition will prefer to use bribery or ballot fraud. We discuss the applicability of the model to several African elections. JEL Codes: D72, O55, P16.

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تاریخ انتشار 2011